SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
46.99% ( 0.21) | 25.45% ( -0.09) | 27.55% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( 0.31) | 50.72% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( 0.28) | 72.62% ( -0.28) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.22) | 21.59% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% ( 0.34) | 54.68% ( -0.34) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( 0.08) | 32.89% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( 0.08) | 69.46% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.55% |
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