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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
HV

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Beltran (78')
Terracciano (2'), Biraghi (36'), Barak (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dawidowicz (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Hellas Verona

Neither side has a reliable striker to dig them out of trouble when most needed, with goals being gleaned from several different sources. An intense schedule may mean Fiorentina will lack a little intensity, but they should still have enough in hand to see off struggling Verona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
73.3% (0.102 0.1) 16.62% (-0.156 -0.16) 10.08% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.81% (0.767 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (0.899 0.9)39.87% (-0.901 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76% (0.925 0.92)62.23% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.55% (0.251 0.25)9.44% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.28% (0.596 0.6)31.71% (-0.598 -0.6)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.79% (0.7 0.7)47.2% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36% (0.521 0.52)82.64% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 73.29%
    Hellas Verona 10.08%
    Draw 16.62%
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 12.41% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-0 @ 9.77% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 5.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.33% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.088 0.09)
5-0 @ 2.72% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.07 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 73.29%
1-1 @ 7.89% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 16.62%
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.96% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Parma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Genk
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Saturday, December 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-3 Monza
Sunday, November 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia


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