SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rosenborg in this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Rosenborg |
27.58% ( -1.31) | 24.12% ( -0.72) | 48.3% ( 2.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 2.3) | 45.03% ( -2.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 2.17) | 67.38% ( -2.18) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.22) | 29.9% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( 0.27) | 66% ( -0.28) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( 1.75) | 18.75% ( -1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( 2.86) | 50.14% ( -2.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.58% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.57)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.32% Total : 48.3% |
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