Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
