Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 9.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.12%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Coritiba
74.4% ( -0.41)	16.33% ( 0.5)	9.27% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 45.48% (

-2.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.83% (

-2.79)

41.17% (

2.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.44% (

-2.9)

63.56% (

2.89)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.49% (

-0.79)

9.5% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.13% (

-1.89)

31.87% (

1.88)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.25% (

-2.1)

49.75% (

2.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.52% (

-1.52)

84.48% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 74.39%

Coritiba 9.27%

Draw 16.33%

Fluminense	Draw	Coritiba
2-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.99) 3-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.33) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.21) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.4% Total : 74.39%	1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.65% Total : 16.33%	0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 9.27%