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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Aug 30, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
B

Fluminense
2 - 0
Bahia

Lucca (36'), Bobadilla (90+7')
Nino (41'), Andre (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rossi (29'), de Lucca (35'), Gilberto (77'), Conti (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 46.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawBahia
46.14%28.23%25.62%
Both teams to score 43.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.05%61.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.3%81.7%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07%26.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74%62.26%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35%40.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76%77.24%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 46.14%
    Bahia 25.62%
    Draw 28.22%
FluminenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 14.36%
2-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 8.48%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 46.14%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 25.62%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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