Buoyed by their results at Cuiaba, Fluminense will head into Wednesday's tie with confidence as they look to continue their surge from the danger zone. However, Palmeiras have put together a solid run of results in recent weeks and we fancy them to secure all three points at the Maracana.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.