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League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
GT

Forest Green
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

McAllister (37' pen., 44')
Bernard (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wilson (65', 80')
Rose (5'), Holohan (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Grimsby Town

Both Forest Green and Grimsby enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood following their midweek FA Cup victories, and the two teams will view this fixture as a winnable game in their quest to steer themselves away from danger in League Two. Grimsby's dismal away record bodes well for Forest Green, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining contest at the New Lawn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
45.64% (1.477 1.48) 24.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 30.02% (-1.398 -1.4)
Both teams to score 57.93% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-0.314 -0.31)44.5% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-0.304 -0.3)66.87% (0.309 0.31)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (0.508 0.51)19.64% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (0.815 0.81)51.6% (-0.811 -0.81)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-1.069 -1.07)27.91% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-1.388 -1.39)63.53% (1.394 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 45.64%
    Grimsby Town 30.02%
    Draw 24.33%
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.321 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.152 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 5-2 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Forest Green
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Brighton U21s (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Barrow
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 7-2 Slough
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Grimsby Town
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-3 Colchester
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 3-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two


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