Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Internacional
42.13% ( -1.03)	28.05% ( 0.29)	29.82% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 46.31% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.53% (

-0.76)

59.47% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.17% (

-0.59)

79.83% (

0.59)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

-0.91)

27.87% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52% (

-1.17)

63.48% (

1.17)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21% (

0.16)

35.79% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43% (

0.16)

72.56% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 42.12%

Internacional 29.82%

Draw 28.04%

Fortaleza	Draw	Internacional
1-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.78% Total : 42.12%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 29.82%