Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.23) 
