SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria | Draw | Fortaleza |
40.9% ( -0.97) | 26.64% ( 0.11) | 32.47% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( -0.18) | 53.4% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( -0.15) | 74.94% ( 0.16) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -0.59) | 25.71% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.37% ( -0.81) | 60.63% ( 0.81) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0.5) | 30.73% ( -0.5) |
