Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
-0.5) 
0.54) 
