Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 42.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 27.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
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