Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
