SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Hamburger SV |
41.14% ( 0.04) | 22.44% ( -0.02) | 36.42% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.42% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.08) | 33.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.16% ( 0.09) | 54.84% ( -0.09) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( 0.05) | 16.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( 0.09) | 46.88% ( -0.09) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( 0.03) | 18.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% ( 0.04) | 50.39% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.42% |
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