Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
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