SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
30.36% ( 0.45) | 24.46% ( -0.2) | 45.19% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( 1.11) | 44.88% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( 1.06) | 67.23% ( -1.06) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 0.86) | 27.87% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( 1.09) | 63.48% ( -1.09) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( 0.34) | 19.98% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% ( 0.55) | 52.16% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.19% |
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