As Sassuolo seem to lack the necessary nous to succeed away from home, they may have to settle for a point from their trip to Frosinone, who have made some intriguing signings. The hosts are also managed by the canny Eusebio Di Francesco, who can hold one of his former clubs to a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
-1.09) 
0.26) 
