SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
64.59% ( -0.84) | 18.15% ( 0.16) | 17.26% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 63.88% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.5% ( 0.54) | 29.5% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.41% ( 0.65) | 50.59% ( -0.65) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.29% ( -0.04) | 8.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.04% ( -0.09) | 29.96% ( 0.09) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( 1.07) | 30.03% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.85% ( 1.27) | 66.15% ( -1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 64.59% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.15% | 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.49% Total : 17.26% |
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