SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Arsenal |
32.06% ( 0.33) | 23.76% ( 0.37) | 44.18% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.12% ( -1.64) | 40.87% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( -1.69) | 63.25% ( 1.69) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.6) | 24.83% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( -0.84) | 59.42% ( 0.84) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( -0.94) | 18.78% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% ( -1.6) | 50.19% ( 1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.06% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.44% Total : 44.18% |
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