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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
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Aston Villa
1 - 0
Arsenal
McGinn (7')
Digne (53'), Luiz (62'), McGinn (73'), Carlos (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zinchenko (28'), Rice (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 3-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawArsenal
32.36% (-5.019 -5.02) 24.75% (0.293 0.29) 42.89% (4.725 4.73)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-2.118 -2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64% (-2.305 -2.31)45.36% (2.304 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.3% (-2.242 -2.24)67.7% (2.24 2.24)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-3.94 -3.94)26.82% (3.937 3.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-5.486 -5.49)62.12% (5.485 5.49)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (1.278 1.28)21.2% (-1.279 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (1.946 1.95)54.09% (-1.947 -1.95)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 32.36%
    Arsenal 42.9%
    Draw 24.74%
Aston VillaDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.712 -0.71)
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.67 -0.67)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.754 -0.75)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.59 -0.59)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.411 -0.41)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.308 -0.31)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.542 0.54)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 9% (0.552 0.55)
0-1 @ 8.82% (1.142 1.14)
0-2 @ 6.84% (1.111 1.11)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.451 0.45)
0-3 @ 3.54% (0.686 0.69)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.236 0.24)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.308 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Legia
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 AZ
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Luton 3-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Sevilla
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

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