Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Arsenal |
32.36% (![]() | 24.75% (![]() | 42.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.64% (![]() | 45.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.3% (![]() | 67.7% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% (![]() | 26.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% (![]() | 62.12% (![]() |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% (![]() | 21.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.92% (![]() | 54.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Arsenal |
2-1 @ 7.64% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 11.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 9% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.9% |
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