SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
46.46% ( 0.22) | 23.38% ( -0.06) | 30.16% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.39% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% ( 0.2) | 39.98% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.65% ( 0.2) | 62.35% ( -0.21) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( 0.16) | 17.51% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( 0.28) | 48.02% ( -0.29) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0) | 25.57% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( -0.01) | 60.44% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.16% |
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