Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 71.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
71.8% ( 0.2) | 16.53% ( -0.06) | 11.67% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.4% ( -0.1) | 34.6% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.46% ( -0.11) | 56.54% ( 0.1) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.54% ( 0.02) | 8.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.66% ( 0.05) | 29.34% ( -0.05) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.24% ( -0.3) | 40.76% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.66% ( -0.27) | 77.34% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 71.8% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.53% | 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 11.67% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: