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EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Jan 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Anfield
FL

Liverpool
2 - 1
Fulham

Jones (68'), Gakpo (71')
van Dijk (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Willian (19')
Lukic (88'), Wilson (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fulham 1-0 Rotherham
Friday, January 5 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 76.38%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 9.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
LiverpoolDrawFulham
76.38% (-1.198 -1.2) 14.07% (0.66 0.66) 9.55% (0.534 0.53)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-0.571 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.46% (-1.685 -1.69)28.53% (1.682 1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.59% (-2.108 -2.11)49.4% (2.104 2.1)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.85% (-0.566 -0.57)6.15% (0.562 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.71% (-1.594 -1.59)23.29% (1.591 1.59)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79% (-0.249 -0.25)40.2% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (-0.226 -0.23)76.84% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 76.38%
    Fulham 9.55%
    Draw 14.07%
LiverpoolDrawFulham
2-0 @ 9.61% (0.325 0.32)
3-0 @ 8.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 8.14% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.453 0.45)
4-0 @ 6.23% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-1 @ 5.68% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
5-1 @ 3.17% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-2 @ 2.59% (-0.123 -0.12)
6-0 @ 1.62% (-0.171 -0.17)
6-1 @ 1.47% (-0.167 -0.17)
5-2 @ 1.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 76.38%
1-1 @ 6.28% (0.373 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.47% (0.239 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 14.07%
1-2 @ 2.86% (0.152 0.15)
0-1 @ 2.25% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 9.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle
Monday, January 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 West Ham
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Man Utd
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-0 Rotherham
Friday, January 5 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Fulham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Fulham (6-7 pen.)
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Fulham
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League


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