SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
66.97% ( -1.6) | 18.37% ( 0.72) | 14.67% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( -1.49) | 36.05% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( -1.65) | 58.15% ( 1.65) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.06% ( -0.77) | 9.95% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.1% ( -1.82) | 32.9% ( 1.82) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% ( 0.22) | 37.29% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.93% ( 0.22) | 74.07% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.19)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.15% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.67% |
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