While history may be beckoning for Galatasaray, and not particularly for the right reasons, relegation still remains an entirely unlikely prospect. Being said, the Lions have struggled to win the games expected of them this season, and they could be in for a difficult afternoon on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
57.7%	21.24%	21.06%

Both teams to score 59.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.55%

38.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.26%

60.74%

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.85%

13.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.18%

39.82%

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31%

31.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.89%

68.11%

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 57.7%

Fatih Karagumruk 21.06%

Draw 21.24%

Galatasaray	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.38% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.68% Total : 57.7%	1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.24%	1-2 @ 5.58% 0-1 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 21.06%