SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Netherlands |
43.27% ( -0.78) | 24.8% ( 0.06) | 31.93% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.02) | 45.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( 0.02) | 68.07% ( -0.03) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.34) | 21.19% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( -0.53) | 54.07% ( 0.53) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0.48) | 27.29% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( 0.61) | 62.73% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Netherlands |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.93% |
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