SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Barrow |
39.15% ( 0.01) | 25.98% ( 0.01) | 34.86% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.04) | 50.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( -0.03) | 72.19% ( 0.03) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.01) | 25.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.07% ( -0.01) | 59.93% ( 0.01) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -0.03) | 27.64% ( 0.03) |
