SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.52% ( -0.06) | 26.53% ( -0.01) | 31.95% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( 0.04) | 53.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( 0.03) | 74.71% ( -0.03) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.02) | 25.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.98% ( -0.02) | 60.02% ( 0.02) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( 0.06) | 30.94% ( -0.07) |
