Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.46%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.69%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Union
45.46% ( -0.08)	30.09% ( 0.12)	24.45% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 38.17% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.01% (

-0.33)

67.99% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.07% (

-0.22)

85.93% (

0.23)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

-0.22)

30.25% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

-0.26)

66.42% (

0.27)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.73% (

-0.23)

45.27% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.85% (

-0.18)

81.15% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 45.45%

Union 24.45%

Draw 30.08%

Gimnasia	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 16.37% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.23% Total : 45.45%	0-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.17) 1-1 @ 12.97% 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.34% Total : 30.08%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.45%