Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union | Draw | Gimnasia |
48.51% ( -0.14) | 27.79% ( -0.01) | 23.7% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 42.9% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.29% ( 0.15) | 61.7% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.48% ( 0.11) | 81.52% ( -0.11) |
Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.36% ( -0) | 25.64% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.46% ( -0) | 60.54% ( 0) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.69% ( 0.23) | 42.31% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.3% ( 0.2) | 78.7% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Union | Draw | Gimnasia |
1-0 @ 14.76% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.11% Total : 23.7% |
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