The Netherlands may have put three past Greece without reply a few weeks ago, but Poyet's troupe ought to be a different proposition in front of their own fans, especially with so much at stake in Group B. However, a handful of Koeman's players still did themselves justice in the loss to France, and with a few alterations here and there, we expect Oranje to bring Greece crashing back down to earth and keep their hopes of a top-two ranking alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Netherlands had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Netherlands win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Netherlands
53.35% ( -0.05)	25.67% ( 0.05)	20.98%

Both teams to score 45.38% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.12% (

-0.17)

56.88% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.2% (

-0.14)

77.8% (

0.14)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

-0.09)

21.38% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63% (

-0.14)

54.36% (

0.14)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.72% (

-0.1)

42.28% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.33% (

-0.08)

78.67% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Greece 53.34%

Netherlands 20.98%

Draw 25.67%

Greece	Draw	Netherlands
1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.34%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.09% Total : 20.98%