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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
GN

Netherlands
3 - 0
Gibraltar

Depay (23'), Ake (50', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Casciaro (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Netherlands 5-0 Gibraltar

Netherlands were so disappointing against France last time out, but we are fully expecting Koeman's side to bounce back in this match. Gibraltar would not have wanted to face Holland off the back of a heavy loss, and we are tipping the home side to win their second game in the section in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 99.58%. A draw had a probability of 0.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 5-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (15.72%) and 6-0 (15.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.42%) The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawGibraltar
99.58%0.42% (0.006 0.01) 0% (-0.006 -0.01)
Both teams to score 0% (-1.548 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
90.96% (-0.607 -0.61)9.04% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
79.45% (-1.117 -1.12)20.55% (1.117 1.12)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.58% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)0.42% (0.034 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
97.27% (-0.187 -0.19)2.73% (0.187 0.19)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
0% (-1.554 -1.55)100% (1.554 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0% (-0.012 -0.01)100% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 99.55%
    Gibraltar 0%
    Draw 0.42%
NetherlandsDrawGibraltar
5-0 @ 17.19% (0.39 0.39)
4-0 @ 15.72% (0.59 0.59)
6-0 @ 15.67% (0.13 0.13)
7-0 @ 12.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 11.5% (0.6 0.6)
8-0 @ 8.37% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.42 0.42)
9-0 @ 5.08% (-0.194 -0.19)
10-0 @ 2.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 2.31% (0.186 0.19)
11-0 @ 1.38% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1%
Total : 99.55%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 0.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 3-1 USA
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Qatar
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 1-1 Ecuador
Friday, November 25 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Senegal 0-2 Netherlands
Monday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-0 Liechtenstein
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-2 Georgia
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 5-1 Gibraltar
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Macedonia 4-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League


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