SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.33%) and 0-3 (12.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.74%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Greece |
6.59% ( -0.3) | 16.97% ( -0.17) | 76.45% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 31.71% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.13% ( -0.35) | 52.87% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.52% ( -0.3) | 74.48% ( 0.3) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.08% ( -1.05) | 63.92% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.47% ( -0.48) | 92.53% ( 0.48) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( 0.04) | 12.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.34% ( 0.07) | 37.66% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Greece |
| 1-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.49% Total : 6.59% | 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.97% | 0-2 @ 17.25% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 16.33% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 12.14% ( 0.22)1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 6.41% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 76.44% |
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