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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
GN

Gibraltar
0 - 3
Greece

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Masouras (11'), Siopis (45'), Bakasetas (58')
Tsimikas (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Greece
Sunday, November 20 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

We said: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece

There have been occasions when Gibraltar have impressed on familiar territory, claiming draws or pushing established nations hard in defeat. However, Greece appear to have turned over a new leaf under Poyet, leading us to predict a one-sided victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-2 with a probability of 17.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.33%) and 0-3 (12.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.74%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.

Result
GibraltarDrawGreece
6.59% (-0.2969 -0.3) 16.97% (-0.168 -0.17) 76.45% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Both teams to score 31.71% (-0.91 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13% (-0.346 -0.35)52.87% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52% (-0.296 -0.3)74.48% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.08% (-1.049 -1.05)63.92% (1.053 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.47% (-0.4789 -0.48)92.53% (0.48299999999999 0.48)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.036000000000001 0.04)12.1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.34% (0.073 0.07)37.66% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 6.59%
    Greece 76.44%
    Draw 16.97%
GibraltarDrawGreece
1-0 @ 3.46% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-1 @ 1.64% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 6.59%
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.107 0.11)
1-1 @ 7.31% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-2 @ 1.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.97%
0-2 @ 17.25% (0.29 0.29)
0-1 @ 16.33% (0.24 0.24)
0-3 @ 12.14% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-4 @ 6.41% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.71% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-6 @ 0.95% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 76.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-0 Liechtenstein
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-2 Georgia
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 5-1 Gibraltar
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Macedonia 4-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Greece
Sunday, November 20 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 2-2 Greece
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 3-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 1-0 Greece
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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