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Friendlies 1
Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
LN

Greece
0 - 0
Lithuania

FT

Upstas (72'), Sirgedas (85'), Gineitis (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Serbia 2-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Greece 2-0 Lithuania

With both managers expected to ring the changes, this could be perceived as a difficult match to call. However, there is currently far more togetherness and added quality in the Greece camp, leading us to predict a relatively comfortable win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 80.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.28%) and 1-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
GreeceDrawLithuania
80.5% (-3.55 -3.55) 13.42% (1.889 1.89) 6.08% (1.6639 1.66)
Both teams to score 39.91% (4.365 4.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (-1.115 -1.12)39.44% (1.118 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (-1.173 -1.17)61.78% (1.176 1.18)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (-0.997 -1)7.69% (1.001 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59% (-2.631 -2.63)27.42% (2.634 2.63)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.23% (5.141 5.14)56.77% (-5.139 -5.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.09% (2.6881 2.69)88.91% (-2.684 -2.68)
Score Analysis
    Greece 80.49%
    Lithuania 6.08%
    Draw 13.42%
GreeceDrawLithuania
2-0 @ 14.36% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-0 @ 12.28% (-1.37 -1.37)
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.869 0.87)
4-0 @ 7.88% (-1.356 -1.36)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.405 0.4)
4-1 @ 4.46% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.04% (-0.954 -0.95)
5-1 @ 2.29% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.399 0.4)
6-0 @ 1.73% (-0.524 -0.52)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 0.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 80.49%
1-1 @ 6.34% (0.969 0.97)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 2.3% (0.56 0.56)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 13.42%
0-1 @ 2.47% (0.486 0.49)
1-2 @ 1.8% (0.507 0.51)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 6.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Greece
Sunday, November 20 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 2-2 Greece
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 3-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 1-0 Greece
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 2-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Estonia 2-0 Lithuania
Saturday, November 19 at 2pm in Baltic Cup
Last Game: Lithuania 0-0 Iceland (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Lithuania
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Faroe Islands
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 2-0 Lithuania
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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