SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Greece | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Greece | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.
| Result | ||
| Greece | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
58.71% ( -1.6) | 24.94% ( 0.26) | 16.35% ( 1.34) |
| Both teams to score 40.22% ( 1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.26% ( 1) | 59.74% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.96% ( 0.76) | 80.04% ( -0.76) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.23) | 20.36% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( -0.36) | 52.77% ( 0.36) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.51% ( 2.48) | 49.49% ( -2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.7% ( 1.68) | 84.3% ( -1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greece | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 16.03% ( -0.74) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.67)2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.14% Total : 58.71% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.28)Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.35% |
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