SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
53.5% ( 0.02) | 23.92% ( -0) | 22.58% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0) | 48.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( -0) | 70.66% ( 0) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.01) | 18.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( 0.01) | 48.99% ( -0.01) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( -0.01) | 35.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( -0.01) | 72.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.58% |
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