SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Bragantino |
49.97% ( 3.85) | 24.8% ( -0.94) | 25.23% ( -2.91) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 1.85) | 49.68% ( -1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 1.63) | 71.69% ( -1.63) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 2.42) | 19.9% ( -2.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% ( 3.77) | 52.02% ( -3.77) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -1.35) | 34.22% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( -1.48) | 70.91% ( 1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.53)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.65)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.38)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.53)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.86) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.63)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.23% |
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