Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
0.05) 
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