SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greuther Furth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Nuremberg |
50.62% ( -0.23) | 22.44% ( -0.05) | 26.94% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 62.31% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.28% ( 0.47) | 37.72% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( 0.51) | 59.96% ( -0.51) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( 0.09) | 15.14% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.27% ( 0.17) | 43.73% ( -0.17) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( 0.45) | 26.56% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( 0.59) | 61.78% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.62% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.94% |
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