Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greuther Furth in this match.

Result
Greuther Furth	Draw	Nuremberg
50.62% ( -0.23)	22.44% ( -0.05)	26.94% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 62.31% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.28% (

0.47)

37.72% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.04% (

0.51)

59.96% (

-0.51)

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85% (

0.09)

15.14% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.27% (

0.17)

43.73% (

-0.17)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

0.45)

26.56% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22% (

0.59)

61.78% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Greuther Furth 50.62%

Nuremberg 26.94%

Draw 22.43%

Greuther Furth	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 50.62%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.43%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.94%