Both sides are in good form, and it is set to be an intriguing cup tie between two clubs who would not have been fancied to get far before a ball was kicked in the competition.
However, despite already taking down one Eredivisie club, repeating the feat will be a challenge for Groningen, and Sittard's superior quality may edge this encounter in favour of the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.64%).