Guadalajara have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and will have the psychological edge heading into Sunday's game. Nonetheless, we expect a close contest with the hosts just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
43.09% ( -0.05)	25.77% ( 0.1)	31.14% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73% (

-0.43)

50.27% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78% (

-0.38)

72.22% (

0.38)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.79% (

-0.21)

23.21% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.89% (

-0.31)

57.1% (

0.31)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-0.25)

30.05% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-0.3)

66.18% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 43.08%

Toluca 31.14%

Draw 25.76%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.08%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.14%