Guarani are unbeaten at home in this season's Copa Sudamericana, and we think that they will maintain that impressive record when they face Huracan, who have lost 10 of their last 11 away games in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Guarani in this match.
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