SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 45.93%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Venezuela |
45.93% ( -0.01) | 28.98% | 25.09% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.46% ( 0) | 64.53% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.44% ( 0) | 83.56% ( -0) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% | 63.98% ( 0) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% ( 0.01) | 42.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% ( 0.01) | 78.97% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 15.22% 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.2% 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.55% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 12.05% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.08% Total : 25.08% |
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