SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Haka had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | KuPS |
26.42% ( 0.5) | 24.24% ( 0.49) | 49.34% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( -1.76) | 46.39% ( 1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% ( -1.68) | 68.67% ( 1.68) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( -0.54) | 31.49% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% ( -0.63) | 67.88% ( 0.63) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( -1.06) | 18.86% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.68% ( -1.8) | 50.32% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.78% Total : 26.42% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.34% |
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