SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
50.97% ( -0.23) | 23.56% ( 0.24) | 25.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( -1.08) | 44.18% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.44% ( -1.06) | 66.56% ( 1.06) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( -0.48) | 17.39% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( -0.85) | 47.81% ( 0.85) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( -0.59) | 31.07% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -0.69) | 67.39% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.97% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.47% |
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