Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.15) 
