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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
HL

Hearts
1 - 1
Hibernian

Shankland (45+2' pen.)
Devlin (60'), Vargas (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marcondes (28')
Bushiri (19')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 5-0 Hearts
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Dundee
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Hibernian

While the two sides experienced contrasting results at the weekend, Hearts are still in the stronger vein of form, have enjoyed a better season and boast more quality than their visitors, and with home advantage we can only envisage them making it back-to-back Edinburgh Derby wins on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
49.47% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01) 23.51%27.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.98% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.47%
    Hibernian 27.03%
    Draw 23.5%
HeartsDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 27.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rangers 5-0 Hearts
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-4 Hearts
Sunday, February 11 at 5pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-3 Hearts
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Dundee
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Inverness 1-3 Hibernian
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-3 St Mirren
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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