SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
49.96% ( -0.04) | 24.43% ( 0.01) | 25.61% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( -0.03) | 47.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( -0.03) | 70.03% ( 0.04) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( -0.03) | 19.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( -0.05) | 50.85% ( 0.05) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( 0.01) | 32.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% ( 0.01) | 69.49% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.61% |
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