SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
50.17% ( -1.34) | 23.12% ( 0.37) | 26.71% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( -0.92) | 41.12% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% ( -0.94) | 63.51% ( 0.94) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( -0.81) | 16.55% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( -1.48) | 46.32% ( 1.48) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( 0.23) | 28.51% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( 0.29) | 64.29% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.71% |
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