Almere City have the slight edge coming into this one, but Heracles will be looking to make home advantage count in their favour. We can see the teams matching each other over the 90 minutes and playing out a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Almere City
50.17% ( -1.34)	23.12% ( 0.37)	26.71% ( 0.96)

Both teams to score 59.66% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.88% (

-0.92)

41.12% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.48% (

-0.94)

63.51% (

0.94)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

-0.81)

16.55% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68% (

-1.48)

46.32% (

1.48)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

0.23)

28.51% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71% (

0.29)

64.29% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Heracles 50.17%

Almere City 26.71%

Draw 23.12%

Heracles	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.17%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.71%